[특집]PSI와 한국의 안보

• 영문명: PSI as an International Security Regime and Korea's Security
• 발행기관: 한국전략문제연구소
• 저자명: 진시원
• 간행물 정보: 『전략연구』통권 제33호, 63~99쪽, 전체 37쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 정치외교학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2005.03.31

영문 초록

As Bush starts his second term of presidency, American foreign security policy towards North Korea is expected to be based on more unilateral and stronger policy compared with Bush's first term. More specifically, many scholars and policy practitioners in Korea widely concern that American North Korean policy will be more aggressive by adopting pre-emptive strategies such as PSI(proliferation security Initiative) interdiction, and even pre-emptive strike. In this predicted dangerous situation, South Korea's need for research and policy preparation on American pre-emptive strategies towards North Korea is being strengthened. This paper focuses on PSI interdiction instead of dealing with pre-emptive strike and analyzes PSI's possible implication towards Korean security and peace. Thus this paper starts with the review of PSI's major object and historical development process and then compares strategic interests of South and North Korea, China, Japan, America, Russia and the European Union regarding PSI interdiction. And after finishing the above mentioned works, this paper tries to suggest South Korea's policy guideline to deal with the predicted dangerous situation in Korean peninsula mainly caused by US-led stronger PSI interdiction against North Korea. At the summit between South Korea and America held on 20th November 2004, two nations' heads agreed to pursue a peaceful and diplomatic resolution of North Korean nuclear crisis through six-party talks. This paper argues that if South Korea successfully manages this great but last opportunity and if North Korea faithfully responds to resolve the nuclear crisis peacefully, six-party talks could be a precious arena where a break-through of North Korean nuclear impasse can be realized. However, if North Korea stubbornly sustains its old policy by refusing the CVID style prior nuclear program dismantlement, and if South Korea's efforts to resolve nuclear crisis peacefully become invalid, America could gain legitimacy and justification in adopting and pursuing unilateral and stronger pre-emptive policies against North Korea. Therefore, First of all, South Korea exerts every possible effort to prevent six-party talks from becoming obsolete. In dealing with possible US-led stronger PSI interdictions, South Korea has to maintain its current 'support PSI principle, reserve PSI participation, selective cooperation policy' for a while and to express its anti-war position towards international society. However, in spite of South Korea's strong objection to war in Korean peninsula, if conflicts between America and North Korea are intensified, South Korea has to take every means possible to bring intervention and reconciliation efforts on Korean peninsula from the United Nations General Assembly as well as the European Union, Japan, China, and Russia. However it has to be reminded that America's PSI policy does not necessarily mean to be imminently aggressive towards North Korea. It is important to understand that PSI interdiction is basically prepared to isolate and suffocate North Korea by continuous containment strategy. Accordingly, if America realizes that unilaterally stronger and imminent PSI interdiction towards North Korea is impossible due to wide objections from South Korea and international society, America could change its PSI interdiction strategy to North Korea from unilaterally stronger interdiction to multi-laterally low-intensive and continuous interdiction.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 부시 집권 2기 한미동맹과 북한의 WMD 문제

Ⅲ. 부시 집권 2기 PSI를 둘러 싼 북한과 주변 4강 및 유럽연합의 전략적 이해관계

Ⅳ. 한국의 대북정책과 PSI 정책

Ⅴ. 결론

키워드

Proliferation Security Initiative(PSI) Six-party talks North Korean nuclear crisis Bush's second term presidency and ROK-US alliance