미래 에너지 분쟁 가능성과 한국의 안보ㆍ군사 대비 방향

• 영문명: The International Energy Security and the ROK's Response
• 발행기관: 한국전략문제연구소
• 저자명: 김재두
• 간행물 정보: 『전략연구』통권 제37호, 36~66쪽, 전체 31쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 정치외교학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2006.07.31

영문 초록

In the 21st century, securing the stable supply of energy resources has become the key issue of international society. For its dept-in-study, this paper highly concerns with the hegemonic structure of issues around the energy security; instead of viewing it with an economic view ? the supply-demand aspect? of the subject. If one looks at the 21st century’s international political order, the energy issue is already bringing out the new shift in the alliance between states to states. In these days, the energy issue can be posed as one nation’s strategic means of containment toward the opponent’s reaction. For example, the recent strategic bond between PRC-Russia and similarly PRC, trying to set up a new bilateral relation with Saudi Arabia show a strong correlation between energy security alliance and military cooperation. The underlying cause of the abovementioned changes lies in multi-level game of war, against terrorism and the rising dispute over energy resources, in the Eurasian Continent. The top priority among various probability of war is placed on the future dispute over energy resources, since it is no more limited to the definition of economic goods, but directly related to the survival of a state ? the action and reaction mechanism to the state survival. In this regard, the newly coined word, the “Energy Alliance” refers that the issue of energy security is now functioning as a vital cause of redefining alliance. At the same time, the new anti-U.S. trend against the effort of the U.S. to stabilizea transparent supply-demand of energy resources is also arising the rapid improvement in relations between Iran and Venezuela and a new formation of the energy alliance in the Central and South America can be the examples of such trends. Each state will pursue its strategy to assure resource capabilities. Thus, conflicts between states are inevitable. PRC has built ports in Pakistan and Myanmar, and now it is building the oil pipe line. This also tells us the importance of a safe marine transportation route in future. As for an asymmetric countermeasure against the worst scenario of a naval blockade around the Strait of Malacca, the energy alliance was formed. The potential cause of the future energy war lies in the fact that the main area where the U.S. is operating the anti-terrorism war and the area in which the U.S. has a high interest with its “energy-security” are overlapping and this increases the probability of war. ROK is one of the countries that highly consume energy resources. Therefore the strategy for the future energy plan is needed to deal with the upcoming possibilities of dispute over energy resources. In this sense, ROK should study strategies of principal actors, involved in the competition for scarce energy resources, and prepare a system that can provide the combined strategies, in consideration of national security and economic interests.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 국제질서 변화와 에너지안보

Ⅲ. 에너지 분쟁 가능성 분석

Ⅳ. 한국의 안보?군사 대비 방향

Ⅴ. 결론

키워드

energy security international order energy conflict