제주지역 준공 후 미분양 주택에 영향을 미치는 요인

• 영문명: Factors Affecting Unsold Housing Units After Completion in Jeju
• 발행기관: 한국주거환경학회
• 저자명: 이호진(Ho-Jin LEE)
• 간행물 정보: 『주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집)』제23권 제3호 (통권 제69호), 69~83쪽, 전체 15쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2025.09.30

국문 초록

To develop countermeasures for unsold housing in Jeju, a thorough assessment that takes into account the local context is essential. This study analyzed the factors influencing the occurrence of unsold housing units after completion in Jeju. After estimating a vector autoregression (VAR) model and conducting a variance decomposition analysis on forecast errors, the results revealed that, in addition to fluctuations in the housing stock itself, the number of tourists and transactions by outsiders significantly impacted the increase in unsold housing units after completion in Jeju compared to other variables. This suggests that the number of unsold housing units itself serves as important market information for both suppliers and buyers, and that the local economic downturn and decline in outsider investment significantly impact the increase in unsold housing units in the region. Therefore, while efforts to stimulate the local economy are fundamentally essential to addressing the issue of unsold housing in Jeju, measures to attract outsider investment, such as easing acquisition and property taxes, are also necessary, even temporarily.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 선행연구 고찰

Ⅲ. 실증분석모형

Ⅳ. 실증분석결과

V. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

준공 후 미분양 주택 주택시장 수급불균형 벡터자기회귀모형 제주지역 Unsold Housing Units After Completion Housing Market Supply and Demand Imbalance Vector Autoregression Model(VAR) Jeju region