도시 쇠퇴수준에 따른 커피전문점의 생존율 및 생존요인에 관한 연구 : 서울시 행정동을 중심으로

• 영문명: Survival Rate and Survival Factors of Coffee Shops by Decline Level : The Case of Seoul
• 발행기관: 한국도시부동산학회(구.도시정책학회)
• 저자명: 오유진(Yoojin Oh)
• 간행물 정보: 『도시부동산연구』16권 2호, 59~77쪽, 전체 19쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 정책학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2025.06.30

국문 초록

The South Korean coffee industry has seen rapid growth over the past two decades, becoming a key part of the nation’s food and beverage sector. In particular, the number of coffee shops in urban areas like Seoul has surged, reflecting the industry’s popularity among small business owners. Despite this expansion, empirical research on coffee shop survival remains limited, especially studies considering broader spatial conditions such as urban decline. This study examines how urban decline influences coffee shop survival in Seoul. Using administrative business license data, we analyze 1,745 coffee shops that newly opened during the single year of 2013, tracking their operational status through the end of 2019. Survival differences across neighborhoods are compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis, followed by a Cox proportional hazards model to explore spatial survival factors. Findings reveal that coffee shops in declining areas face significantly shorter survival durations and greater vulnerability to environmental pressures. Compared to restaurant-focused studies, coffee shops show greater spatial disparity in survival, highlighting the need to incorporate spatial vulnerability into small business policies and urban economic planning.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 선행연구 고찰 및 연구의 차별성

Ⅲ. 연구의 방법

Ⅳ. 분석 결과

Ⅴ. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

쇠퇴수준 커피전문점 생존율 카플란-마이어 생존 분석 콕스 비례위험 모형 Decline Level Coffee Shop Survival Rate Kaplan-Meier Survival Analysis Cox Proportional Hazards Model