CGE 모델의 시뮬레이션기법을 이용한 관광산업의 경제적 효과분석

• 영문명: Estimating the Economic Impact of the Tourism Industry by using a CGE Modeling Approach: The Case of the 2002 World Cup
• 발행기관: 한국관광학회
• 저자명: 이충기 문석웅
• 간행물 정보: 『관광학연구』제28권 제3호, 261~281쪽, 전체 21쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 관광학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2004.12.31

영문 초록

The purpose of this study was to utilize a dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to estimate the economic impact of the 2002 FIFA World Cup on the tourism industry. Toward this end, this study employed ORANI-F as a basic framework that was calibrated to input-output (I-O) tables, and then the base year 2000 I-O data were updated through historical simulation for impact analysis. Then, tourism multipliers were derived from the updated I-O tables by using CGE simulation. The results of the CGE analysis indicated that World Cup tourists’ expenditure of US$522 million generated US$1.57 billion in output (sales), $290 million in income, $683 million in value added, $88 million in indirect tax, and an equivalent of 24,543 full-time jobs as a result of direct, indirect, and induced impacts.

목차

ABSTRACT

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 선행연구 및 모델의 이론적 검토

Ⅲ. 분석결과

Ⅳ. 결론 및 시사점

참고문헌

키워드

CGE 모델 산업연관모델 관광승수 월드컵