환율의 변동성과 한국인의 해외관광수요

• 영문명: Exchange Rate Volatility and Outbound Tourism Demand: Evidence from Korea
• 발행기관: 한국관광학회
• 저자명: 모수원
• 간행물 정보: 『관광학연구』제27권 제4호, 147~162쪽, 전체 16쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 관광학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2004.02.29

영문 초록

Volumes of research have been implemented to estimate and predict the international tourism demand. These studies have generally modeled the tourism demand function of exchange rates, prices, income, transportation, and population. Unobservable variables that have been overlooked in past research, however, are likely to affect outbound tourists from Korea. This study therefore investigated whether the exchange rate volatility weakened the Korean international tourism demand through the use of the GARCH volatility model. Empirical results showedthat combining the exchange rate volatility from the GARCH model not only had a negative effect on tourism demand but also slowly eroded it.

목차

ABSTRACT

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 환율의 변동성 도출

Ⅲ. 모형의 도입과 안정성 검정

Ⅳ. 환율변동성과 충격반응

Ⅴ. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

환율변동성 관광수지 해외여행수요 충격반응