제주도 방문 관광객 수를 이용한 수명주기추정과 발달단계분석

• 영문명: Tourism Development Stages: A Life Cycle Analysis of Jeju Island
• 발행기관: 한국관광학회
• 저자명: 박재모 여정태
• 간행물 정보: 『관광학연구』제27권 제3호, 115~131쪽, 전체 17쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 관광학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2003.12.31

영문 초록

According to Burtler’s thesis, a resort or a tourist destination follows a certain path of development stage, drawing S curve. With a thesis that the growth of tourist destination will end off at sometime in the future, this paper examines the historical trend of visitors to Jeju island, the biggest one in Korea located off the southern west coast of the peninsula. Authors set up the most plausible time path model to the growth of visitors in Jeju island during the last 41 years. With the findings, this paper examines the prospective tourist growth path of the island. For the determination of five development stages of the destination based on Butler’s hypothesis authors apply iterative derivatives of the suggested logistic equation.

목차

ABSTRACT

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 이론적 배경

Ⅲ. 연구방법

Ⅳ. 분석결과 및 시사점

Ⅴ. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

수명주기 이론 관광지 발달단계 로지스틱 성장곡선 도함수