도보관광 수요와 파급효과 분석

• 영문명: Forecasting Demand and Estimating the Economic Impact of Walk Tourists: Focused on Jeju Olle
• 발행기관: 한국관광학회
• 저자명: 정철 정란수 이훈
• 간행물 정보: 『관광학연구』제35권 제8호, 389~408쪽, 전체 20쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 관광학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2011.10.31

영문 초록

Walking tourism is being widely spread in Korea as a new type of tourism. Jeju Olle could be regarded as the first and most popular walking tourism destination in Korea. Using the holt exponential smoothing method, this study forecasted the future demand of Jeju Olle tourism. It also estimated the economic impact of Jeju walking tourism using the I-O analysis. Date were collected from 400 respondents by Internet survey from Dec. 2009 to Jan. 2010. Results showed that demand for walking tourism was predicted to be 12% of total tourists of Jeju by 2015. Results also indicated that demand for Jeju Olle tourism would be 1.7 million by the same year. In addition, the results of I-O analysis indicated that Jeju Olle tourism generated 1.476 billion Won of output impact, 301.8 million Won of value-added, 89.8 million Won of government revenue, and 12,751 jobs. These results imply that a sharp increase in walking tourism and its considerable economic impact will last for a while.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 이론적 고찰

Ⅲ. 연구방법

Ⅳ. 분석결과

Ⅴ. 결론 및 시사점

참고문헌

키워드

도보관광 제주올레 수요예측 산업연관분석 시계열모형 회귀분석모형 Walk tourism Jeju Olle Forecasting Input-output analysis Time-series model Regression model