아웃바운드 관광수요 모형의 선정

• 영문명: Estimating the Outbound Tourism Demand Model
• 발행기관: 한국관광학회
• 저자명: 모수원
• 간행물 정보: 『관광학연구』제32권 제1호, 341~351쪽, 전체 11쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 관광학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2008.02.29

영문 초록

This paper is to choose the most suitable model for the outbound tourism. The destinations considered are China, Japan, United States, Thailand, Philippines, Hongkong and Singapore, The six OLS models were considered to undertake an empirical investigation. Variables used to cover 1995 to 2006 consist of monthly observations of exchange rates, outbound tourists, price levels and industrial production index. The regression analysis shows that model 1, model 2, and model 3 are not suitable for estimating the tourism demand. Author found that the model 4 was the most suitable one of the three models through the variance decomposition.

목차

I. 서론

II. 모형도입과 추정

III. 예측력과 분산분해

IV. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

아웃바운드 관광 분산분해 환율 Outbound tourism Variance decomposition Exchange rate