우리나라 노년층의 해외여행 수요예측

• 영문명: Predicting Outbound Tourism Demands for Korean Senior Citizen: An Application of Artificial Neural Network Model
• 발행기관: 한국관광학회
• 저자명: 곽대진 송운강
• 간행물 정보: 『관광학연구』제31권 제6호, 157~178쪽, 전체 22쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 관광학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2007.12.31

영문 초록

Many experts forecast that Korea will be in an aged society soon. Due to this significant shift, the objectives of the study are as follows; firstly to explain the aging progress of Korea and academic interests for the last 18years, secondly to describe the structure and theory of Artificial Neural Network model, thirdly to forecast the tourism demand in Korean seniors for China and Japan, finally to give academic explanations to Korean tourism sector. The results identified three meaningful results. First, the study describe that the market for Korean elderly people would be important in the tourism study. The study also predicted the outbound travel demands and emphasize the trend for Korean senior citizen. The results provide base to produce useful strategies for the tourism industry such as tourism marketing and policy. Finally, the study identify that ANN model would improve the accuracy for Korea’s tourism demand study.

목차

I. 서론

II. 이론적 배경

III. 연구방법

IV. 분석결과

V. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

노년층 해외여행수요 인공신경망 모형 시계열 Senior citizen Outbound tourism demands Artificial neural network Time series