Impacts of African Swine Fever on Structural Change in China’s Meat Demand

• 영문명: Impacts of African Swine Fever on Structural Change in China’s Meat Demand
• 발행기관: 한국농업경제학회
• 저자명: 교일양(Yiyang Qiao) 안병일(Byeong-il Ahn)
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경제연구』63권 3호, 169~191쪽, 전체 23쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2022.09.30

영문 초록

In 2018, African Swine Fever (ASF) first broke out in China and had a noticeable effect on China’s pork market and the entire meat market. This paper models China’s meat market, including pork, beef, mutton, and poultry, and examines how the outbreak of ASF impacts structural changes in China’s meat demand. We use the inverse almost ideal demand system (IAIDS) model and employ province-level meat consumption and price data to form the panel data set of 30 provinces of China from 2015 to 2020. Our results indicate that ASF has a significant impact on the demand for pork, poultry, and mutton. Based on the estimated price flexibilities and scale flexibilities, we find that the outbreak of ASF impacts structural change in China’s meat demand. Furthermore, our results show the heterogeneity of the ASF’s effects across different provinces in China.

목차

Ⅰ. Introduction

Ⅱ. Methodology

Ⅲ. Data

Ⅳ. Empirical Results

Ⅴ. Conclusion

References

키워드

African swine fever meat demand structural change Inverse AIDS model China