국내 전시컨벤션센터 자산운용을 위한 수요면적 예측연구

• 영문명: Prediction of Demand Area for Asset Operation of Domestic Exhibition Convention Center
• 발행기관: 한국주거환경학회
• 저자명: 김행종(Kim, Haeng-Jong) 김선주(Kim, Sun-Ju)
• 간행물 정보: 『주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집)』住居環境 제16권 제2호 (통권 제40호), 235~249쪽, 전체 15쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2018.07.31

영문 초록

Through a comprehensive review of demand forecasting methods of domestic exhibition convention centers, we predicted demand areas of domestic exhibition convention centers through the most predictive demand forecasting model. In addition, in the previous research, the estimation of the demand area of the domestic exhibition convention center is complemented by the limit of estimation of the exhibition area, and the demand area forecast of the domestic exhibition convention center has the difference of the study by summing up the exhibition area and the meeting room area. The ARIMA model with the largest value and the smallest standard error was selected as the time series model and the second order linear model with the largest value was selected as the regression model. Using the average value of these, the area demand of the domestic exhibition convention center from 1991 to 2015 is calculated. As the total area and the total demand area of t h e domestic exhibition convention center are constantly different, And that the existence of the When the required area and the shortage are compared according to the supply area as of 2017, it is concluded that the planned area of t h e domestic exhibition convention center is insufficient from 2016 to 2030.

목차

I. 서론

II. 이론적 논의

III. 수요예측모형과 자료 분석

IV. 수요예측 분석

V. 결 론

키워드

전시컨벤션센터 ARIMA모형 2차 모형 Exhibition Convention Center ARIMA Model Second Order Linear Model