쌀 협상 결과의 평가와 과제

• 영문명: The Implication of the Rice Negotiation Results Using Dynamic CGE Model
• 발행기관: 한국농식품정책학회
• 저자명: 김충실 이상호
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경영.정책연구』농업경영·정책연구 32권 4호, 627~648쪽, 전체 22쪽
• 주제분류: 농수해양 > 식품과학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2005.12.31

영문 초록

This paper is to analyze the impact of the rice negotiation on Korean economy and agricultural sectors using a dynamic multi-regional general equilibrium model. This results show that rice tariffication results in rice production and agricultural GDP unstable in contrary to MMA. The rice tariffication would be equivalent to 7.1~13.4 percent of MMA when Korea is the developed countries position in WTO/DDA negotiation. Also, the rice tariffication considers the risk and uncertainty such as exchange rate fluctuation, tariff reduction, and rice price changes. Therefore the MMA is more desirable than rice tariffication when the DDA modality is not determined.

목차

Abstract

I. 서론

II. 쌀 협상의 성격과 주요 결과

III. 분석모형 : 동태 CGE모형

IV. 분석자료 및 시나리오

V. 쌀 협상 결과의 평가

VI. 요약 및 결론

참고문헌

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키워드

Dynamic CGE model rice tariffication MMA