한국 항만물류산업의 성장 결정요인 추정

• 영문명: An Estimation on the Determinants of Growth of Korean Port-logistic Industry
• 발행기관: 한국무역연구원
• 저자명: 최봉호(Bong-Ho Choi) 김상춘(Sang-Choon Kim)
• 간행물 정보: 『무역연구』제13권 제1호, 757~773쪽, 전체 17쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 무역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2017.02.28

영문 초록

This paper analyses the determinants of growth of Korean port-logistic industry by using the time series of growth of Korean port-logistic industry and the framework of cointegration equation and vector error correction model. To do this, We construct analysis models using the variables associated with the growth of the port logistics industry, and select the optimal model among the models. The main results are as follows: In long-term, cointegration test results suggest that the main determinants of growth of Korean port-logistic industry are the variables of labor, capital, exchange rate, but we find that the impact of the variables of the economic growth and port cargo volume on growth of Korean port-logistic industry is not clear. The variable of capital has a robust causality with growth of Korean port-logistic industry, but labor not in short term. We can’t definitely conclude that the causality between growth of Korean port-logistic industry and economic growth, exchange rate and port cargo volume exists. The results of analysis show that it will be useful as a basic information about policy variables related to growth of port logistics industry.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 선행연구

Ⅲ. 분석모형과 분석방법

Ⅳ. 항만물류산업의 성장 결정요인 실증분석

Ⅴ. 결론

키워드

Cointegration Test Growth Korea Port-Logistics Industry Vector Error Correction Model