VECM을 활용한 오피스 공실률 영향요인에 관한 연구

• 영문명: A Study on the Factors Affecting the Vacancy Rate of the Office using VECM
• 발행기관: 한국주거환경학회
• 저자명: 주대한(Ju DaeHan) 김종진(Kim JongJin)
• 간행물 정보: 『주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집)』住居環境 제14권 제2호 (통권 제32호), 93~108쪽, 전체 16쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2016.06.30

영문 초록

The purpose of the study is to decide macroeconomic variables that affect vacancy rate of office buildings of real estate for profit and exhibit standards for rational decision-making using VECM(Vector Error Correction Model) The results are as follows; First, the office vacancy rate is sensitive to the consumer price index. consumer price index showed a negative effect on the vacancy rate of office. Second, the office vacancy rate is sensitive to the exchange rate which showed a negative effect on the vacancy rate of office. So consider foreign investors who think exchange rate as important factor. Finally, the lower the interest rate increases the demand for office. Interest rates fell continuously during the analysis period, the future, interest rates are likely to maintain a low level. Interest rates decrease, reduce costs of business finance, increase demand of office, finally decrease the vacancy rate of office. We can maximize effect on vacancy rate of office caused by the interest rate at economic center where gather companies.

목차

Abstract

Ⅰ. 서 론

II. 선행연구 및 오피스 공실률에 관한 고찰

Ⅲ. 공실률 이론적 결정모형 및 가설 설정

Ⅳ. 오피스 공실률 결정모형 분석결과

Ⅴ. 결론 및 시사점

참고문헌

키워드

오피스 공실률 거시경제변수 벡터오차수정모형 vacancy rate of office buildings Macroeconomic variables VECM Vector Error Correction Model