2인 가구 장기주택수요 전망에 관한 연구

• 영문명: Long-term Housing Demand Forecast of Two-person Households in Korea
• 발행기관: 한국주거환경학회
• 저자명: 황종규(Hwang JongKyu)
• 간행물 정보: 『주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집)』住居環境 제14권 제2호 (통권 제32호), 21~32쪽, 전체 12쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2016.06.30

영문 초록

This study attempted to analyze changes in the average area of households in terms of the quantities of housing demand and type by applying to the modified Mankiw-Weil model the permanent income and housing expenses estimated from the sample of 2-person households in the 15th labor panel data of the Korea Labor Institute. The long-term quantities of housing demand by the young-couple households was found to show a negative rate of increase since 2031. But a rate of increase in average area per household was found to be 1.66% by year. And the rate of increase in the total quantities of housing demand by the elderly-couple households was found to continue increasing. It was found to be highest and the average area of their housing was found be 139.7㎡, the biggest area in 2035. But a rate of increase in average area was found to be lowest at 0.91%. And it was found that the single-parent households would have the smallest area by year. There is a need to consider the reduction in the total quanitities of housing demand and household characteristics when formulating the long-term housing supply policy for the young-couple households. And it is thought that there is a need to focus on making the policy for smooth downsizing of the elderly-couple households and the policy for expanding the area of single-parent household.

목차

Abstract

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 선행연구 검토

Ⅲ. 자료 및 변수측정

Ⅳ. 추정결과 및 장기주택수요 예측

Ⅴ. 결 론

참고문헌

키워드

장기주택수요 맨큐 웨일 유형별 2인 가구 Long term Housing Demand Mankiw Weil Two person Households