국제관광과 무역간의 인과성 검정

• 영문명: Causality between International Tourism and Trade
• 발행기관: 대한관광경영학회
• 저자명: 송운강
• 간행물 정보: 『관광연구』제19권 제2호, 163~175쪽, 전체 13쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 관광학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2004.10.30

영문 초록

This paper investigates whether there is a relationship between international tourism and trade flows using the data of Korea and three important travel and trading partners, Japan, China and the USA Using cointegration and error-correction models the paper finds support for prior beliefs that there is a relationship between international tourism and trade. Findings indicate a two-way Granger causality between international travel and trade. Thus, previous tourism forecasting studies using a single equation approach may lead to biased estimates since they fail to consider possible simultaneity bias or feedback effects between international tourism and trade. In addition, these results may further suggest redirecting appropriate policies between tourism and trade.

목차

ABSTRACT

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 연구방법

Ⅲ. 분석결과

Ⅳ. 결론 및 시사점

참고문헌

키워드

국제관광수요 무역 인과성 검정 내생성(endogeneity)