외환위기 전후의 우리나라 수입수요의 구조변확와 장기적 안정성

• 영문명: Structural Change and Long Term Stability of Korea’s Import Demand Before and After the Financial Crisis
• 발행기관: 인하대학교 산업경제연구소
• 저자명: 심재진(Jae Jin Shim) 김용대(Yong Dae Kim)
• 간행물 정보: 『경상논집』경상논집 제17집 제1호, 187~204쪽, 전체 18쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2003.06.01

영문 초록

This paper analyzed empirically whether there happened a structural change of import demand behavior and import demand was stable before and after the financial crisis. However, there was no clear evidence on the result of structural changes analyzed by CHOW and CUSUM test, we could find capabilities that instability of import demand, happened 4 years before the crisis, could be one of the factors might bring about financial crisis. To confirm whether there is a long term stability between volume of import and tested variables, we tested co-integration test with the data. In the result of the test, we found that there are long term stabilities in between the import volume and tested variables such as real GDP, domestic price, and exchange rates. Therefore, the structure of import demand, in spite of financial crisis, have not been changed and is still secured. And the result shows that there is long term stabilities with the tested variables.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 수입수요함수 모형과 선행연구의 고찰

Ⅲ. 모형 및 실증분석 결과

Ⅳ. 결론

《參考文獻》

Abstract