경기도 도시성장예측 및 응용방안에 관한 연구

• 영문명: A Study on Urban Growth Prediction and Applications for Gyeong-gi Province
• 발행기관: 안양대학교 수도권발전연구소
• 저자명: 조규영 유선철 노경식
• 간행물 정보: 『수도권연구』제7호, 71~101쪽, 전체 31쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2010.11.30

영문 초록

Currently the city has increased the need for growth management. In this study, will be to establish urban growth management system. For urban growth management we predicted growth of the city of Gyeong-gi Province(population, employment, Land) and Urban growth management system and detailed plans are presented. For this purpose ①Were related to theory and previous study. Framework was set up and use, ②Create the data of index, change of Gyeong-gi Province and were simulated, ③and suggest the Gyeong-gi Province's Urban Growth Management System and detailed plan. In this study, away from the existing growth management system in order to derive a practical method of forecasting model to predict the city. This is the significance of this study. Urban growth management should be based on objectivity and rationality for the interests of all members. Therefore, the development and application of various models for objectivity and accuracy and should have a repeat. Based on this research, the humanities, social and natural environments and can be applied by considering various elements such as predictive models should be developed. And efforts are needed to compensate the defect.

목차

I. 서 론

II. 관련이론 및 선행연구 검토

III. 경기도 도시성장예측

IV. 경기도 도시성장관리 방안

V. 결 론

키워드

Urban Growth Prediction Growth Management Shift-share Model Multinominal Logit Model