축산물 가격의 인과성 검정 :사료곡물에서 소매단계까지

• 영문명: Causal Relationships in the Livestock Industry : Feed Grain Through Retail Meat Prices
• 발행기관: 개인저작물
• 저자명: 양승룡
• 간행물 정보: 『개인저작물 - 사회』제44권 제2호, 91~110쪽, 전체 20쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 개인저작물
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2003.06.01

영문 초록

A widespread belief in the livestock industry in Korea is that the feed price is largely affected by the prices of feed grains which are mostly supplied from abroad. It is also believed that the large dependency of feed grains on foreign sources results in weak international competitiveness. This article conducts causality tests between prices of corn and feed and between prices of feed and livestock. No statistical evidence is found to conclude that the international com price affects domestic feed prices. Rather, the exchange rate could explain the food price movements. In addition, the feed price does not appear to affect the livestock prices. Interpretations of the results and implications for the future work is outlined in the conclusion.

목차

ABSTRACT

I. 서론

II. 모형의 설정과 분석 방법

1. 모형의 설정

2. 계량경제학적 고려

III. 자료

IV. 분석결과

1. 단위근 및 공적분 검정결과

2. 모형의 추정과 인과성 검정 결과

V. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

Causality Test Livestock Prices Feed Prices VAR ECM