News and Numbers

Victor Cohn 지음

Wiley-Blackwell 2011년 09월 07일 출간

작품소개

책소개

Numbers and statistical claims dominate today's news. Politics, budgets, crime analysis, medical issues, and sports reporting all demand numbers. Now in its third edition, News Numbers focuses on how to evaluate statistical claims in science, health, medicine, and politics. It does so by helping readers answer three key questions about all scientific studies, polls, and other statistical claims: quot;What can I believe?quot; quot;What does it mean?quot; and quot;How can I explain it to others?quot;Updated throughout, this long overdue third edition brings this classic text up-to-date with the 21st century with a complete updating of examples, case studies, and stories. The text emphasises clear thinking and common sense approaches for understanding, analyzing and explaining statistics, and terms throughout the book are explained in easy-to-understand, nontechnical language. Much new material has been added to ensure the text maintains its pertinent approach to the subject, including:A section on computer modellingAdditional chapters on risks and 'missing numbers'Updated sections on health plans and insurance, including updates on President Obama's health system overhaul new material on health care costs and quality

목차

A Note to Our Readers viiA Tribute to Victor Cohn, 1919&~2000 ixForeword xiAcknowledgments xiiiNotes on Sources xvPart I Learning the Basics 1A Guide to Part I of News Numbers 21 Where We Can Do Better 32 The Certainty of Uncertainty 83 Testing the Evidence 154 What Makes a Good Study? 375 Your Questions and Peer Review 54Part II Now Down to Specifics 69A Guide to Part II of News Numbers 706 Tests and Drug Trials 717 Vital Statistics 838 Health Costs, Quality, and Insurance 979 Our Environment 10810 Writing About Risks 12411 Polls 13312 Statistical Savvy for Many Types of News 145Epilogue 161Glossary 163Bibliography 170Index 173

작가정보

저자(글) Victor Cohn

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The late Victor Cohn, called the ldquo;Dean of Science Writersrdquo; was the prize-winning science editor and writer for The Washington Post for 25 years. He was cited as one of the top science writers by The New York Times and Newsweek, co-founded the Council for the Advancement of Science Writing and served as president of the National Association of Science Writers.Lewis Cope was science writer at the Star Tribune of Minneapolis-St. Paul for 29 years and, like Cohn, the recipient of numerous awards. Cope formerly served as president of the National Association of Science Writers.Deborah Cohn Runkle is a Senior Program Associate at the American Association for the Advancement of Science.