Statistical Arbitrage

Andrew Pole 지음

Wiley 2011년 07월 07일 출간

작품소개

책소개

While statistical arbitrage has faced some tough times?as markets experienced dramatic changes in dynamics beginning in 2000?new developments in algorithmic trading have allowed it to rise from the ashes of that fire. Based on the results of author Andrew Pole?s own research and experience running a statistical arbitrage hedge fund for eight years?in partnership with a group whose own history stretches back to the dawn of what was first called pairs trading?this unique guide provides detailed insights into the nuances of a proven investment strategy. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Statistical Arbitrage contains comprehensive analysis that will appeal to both investors looking for an overview of this discipline, as well as quants looking for critical insights into modeling, risk management, and implementation of the strategy.

목차

Preface.Foreword.Acknowledgments.Chapter 1. Monte Carlo or Bust.Beginning.Whither? And Allusions.Chapter 2. Statistical Arbitrage.Introduction.Noise Models.Reverse Bets.Multiple Bets.Rule Calibration.Spread Margins for Trade Rules.Popcorn Process.Identifying Pairs.Refining Pair Selection.Event Analysis.Correlation Search in the Twenty-First Century.Portfolio Configuration and Risk Control.Exposure to Market Factors.Market Impact.Risk Control Using Event Correlations.Dynamics and Calibration.Evolutionary Operation: Single Parameter Illustration.Chapter 3. Structural Models.Introduction.Formal Forecast Functions.Exponentially Weighted Moving Average.Classical Time Series Models.Autoregression and Cointegration.Dynamic Linear Model.Volatility Modeling.Pattern Finding Techniques.Fractal Analysis.Which Return?A Factor Model.Factor Analysis.Defactored Returns.Prediction Model.Stochastic Resonance.Practical Matters.Doubling: A Deeper Perspective.Factor Analysis Primer.Prediction Model for Defactored Returns.Chapter 4. Law of Reversion.Introduction.Model and Result.The 75 percent Rule.Proof of the 75 percent Rule.Analytic Proof of the 75 percent Rule.Discrete Counter.Generalizations.Inhomogeneous Variances.Volatility Bursts.Numerical Illustration.First-Order Serial Correlation.Analytic Proof.Examples.Nonconstant Distributions.Applicability of the Result.Application to U.S. Bond Futures.Summary.Appendix 4.1: Looking Several Days Ahead.Chapter 5. Gauss is Not the God of Reversion.Introduction.Camels and Dromedaries.Dry River Flow.Some Bells Clang.Chapter 6. Interstock Volatility.Introduction.Theoretical Explanation.Theory versus Practice.Finish the Theory.Finish the Examples.Primer on Measuring Spread Volatility.Chapter 7. Quantifying Reversion Opportunit

출판사 서평

"Over time, anything that creates an edge for a particular group of bettors&-including the most astute observers of horse flesh&-gets factored into the odds and becomes unreliable as a system. That's the classic argument of random walk theorists, and the equally classic response is that there's a lot of money to be made before that factoring is complete. This book is a contribution to that never-ending debate." (Hedgeworld.com)

작가정보

저자(글) Andrew Pole

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Andrew Pole is a Managing Director at TIG Advisors, LLC, a registered investment advisor in New York. He specializes in quantitative trading strategies and risk management. This book is the result of his own research and experience running a statistical arbitrage hedge fund for eight years. Pole is also the coauthor of Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis.