Climate Extremes and Their Implications for Impact and Risk Assessment

Jana Sillmann , Sebastian Sippel , Simone Russo 지음

elsevier 2019년 11월 22일 출간

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Climate extremes often imply significant impacts on human and natural systems, and these extreme events are anticipated to be among the potentially most harmful consequences of a changing climate. However, while extreme event impacts are increasingly recognized, methodologies to address such impacts and the degree of our understanding and prediction capabilities vary widely among different sectors and disciplines. Moreover, traditional climate extreme indices and large-scale multi-model intercomparisons that are used for future projections of extreme events and associated impacts often fall short in capturing the full complexity of impact systems. Climate Extremes and Their Implications for Impact and Risk Assessment describes challenges, opportunities and methodologies for the analysis of the impacts of climate extremes across various sectors to support their impact and risk assessment. It thereby also?facilitates?cross-sectoral and cross-disciplinary discussions and exchange among climate and impact scientists. The sectors covered include agriculture, terrestrial ecosystems, human health, transport, conflict, and more broadly covering the human-environment nexus. The book concludes with an outlook on the need for more transdisciplinary work and international collaboration between scientists and practitioners to address emergent risks and extreme events towards risk reduction and strengthened societal resilience.Provides an overview about past, present and future changes in climate and weather extremes and how to connect that knowledge to impact and risk assessment under global warmingPresents different approaches to assess societal-relevant impacts and risk of climate and weather extremes, including compound events, and the complexity of risk cascades and the interconnectedness of societal riskFeatures applications across a diversity of sectors, including agriculture, health, ecosystem services and urban transport

1. Climate extremes and their implications for impact modeling: A short introduction Jana Sillmann and Sebastian Sippel 2. Climate scenarios and their relevance and implications for impact studies Claudia Tebaldi and Brian O'Neill 3. Changes in climate extremes in observations and climate model simulations. From the past into the future Markus Donat, Jana Sillmann and Erich Fischer 4. Multivariate extremes and compound events Jakob Zscheischler, Bart van den Hurk, Philip Ward and Seth Westra 5. Bias-correction of climate model output for impact models Alex J. Cannon, Claudio Piani and Sebastian Sippel 6. Anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclones and its impacts Michael Wehner 7. Machine Learning Applications for Agricultural Impacts Under Extreme Events Carlos Felipe Gaitan 8. Assessing the F rance 2016 extreme wheat production loss ?? evaluating our operational capacity to predict complex compound events Marijn Van der Velde, R챕mi Lecerf, Rapha챘l d??Andrimont and Tamara Ben-Ari 9. Probabilistic drought risk analysis for even-aged forests Marcel Van Oijen and Miguel Angel de Zavala 10. Projecting health impacts of climate extremes: a methodological overview Ana Maria Vicedo-Cabrera, Francesco Sera and Antonio Gasparrini 11. Climate extremes and their implications for impact modelling in transport Maria Pregnolato, David Jaroszweski, Alistair Ford and Richard Dawson 12. Assessing Vulnerability and Risk of Climate Change Bapon SHM Fakhruddin,?Kate Boylan, Alec Wild and Rebekah Robertson 13. Data challenges limit our global understanding of humanitarian disasters triggered by climate extremes Miguel D. Mahecha, Debarati Guha-Sapir, Jeroen Smits, Fabian Gans and Guido Kraemer 14. Ada

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저자(글) Jana Sillmann

저자(글) Sebastian Sippel

저자(글) Simone Russo

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